EURUSD traded above 1.2700 but lacked the momentum to drive above the 1.2800 level. Part of the reason for the restrained market activity may be the EU Bank Stress test results expected to be released next Friday. While some say the release will be good for risk-correlated trades due to the high level of transparency – we believe this may only be the case if the anticipated cost of recapitalizing…

Yesterday, the Euro was able to shrug-off Moody’s downgrade of Portugal with the buttress of a well-received Greek debt auction – the positive move was even further resistant to yesterday’s positive run in US equity earnings. As a result, EURUSD climbed quickly and was able to break the 1.2700 threshold. Nevertheless, we are not convinced that this rally has any real legs, as liquidity has been…

Markets continue to trade at their unhurried summer pace with no signs that we’ll encounter any directional momentum today. The highlight of yesterday’s trading day was the BoE MPC Posen addressing comments advanced by S&P regarding the UK’s cherished AAA sovereign rating. S&P asserted that UK debt levels were approaching levels incompatible with their AAA rating. Posen later addressed…

It seems like market participants are sleeping in this morning along with all of Spain. Markets opened with a yawn as low liquidity and directional USD buying set the morning FX trend. With no real market-moving data today, prices appear to moving counter to the little new information we did receive this weekend — we suspect this intraday trend to reverse mid-day. Asian regional indexes are…